Product
Early warning for fragile consensus.
We help you know when to pay attention, not what to do. Signals are timing-focused and uncertainty-aware—not outcome predictions.
Signals
Consensus Compression, Surprise Risk, Stability, and Confidence Bands—designed for timing, not direction.
Alerts
Early warning when conditions change—so surprises feel less surprising.
Dashboard + API
Use as an overlay on existing workflows. No tool replacement required.
What we do differently
Most market tools describe prices and volatility. We track how collective confidence evolves—when disagreement disappears, when calm is artificial, and when small triggers can cause outsized reactions.
How it works (without math)
- Updates continuously from live data
- Tests multiple hypotheses in parallel
- Retires signals that stop working
- Adjusts confidence based on real-world performance
What it is / isn’t
Built for
- Polymarket power users
- Analysts and researchers
- Risk and strategy teams
- Platforms monitoring market health
Not built for
- “Best bet” recommendations
- Guaranteed predictions
- Automated trading
Signals are informational and timing-focused; not investment advice.
“We don’t predict outcomes. We detect when certainty forms faster than information.”